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Copper Soars As Trade War Risks Fade

Copper Breaks OutFollowing a sharp move lower at the start of the week on news of Trump’s trade tariffs, copper prices have recovered and are now firmly rallying. The futures market has broken out to...

Market turbulence and central bank credibility: the costs of fluctuating policy stances for the Fed

This week was marked by extraordinary turbulence on the financial markets, but by the end of the week, the prevailing opinion was that politicians had offered convincing "guarantees" for...

Market turmoil returns as Credit Suisse shares plunge

On Wednesday, Credit Suisse, the Swiss bank, became the catalyst for a new correction, with its shares losing over 28% in pre-market trading. The reason for collapse was a report that the Saudi fund,...

Hawkish Fed pushes Dollar higher as signs of higher inflation in 1Q23 pile up

Signs of picking up US economic activity and inflation in the new year have fueled hawkish rhetoric from Fed officials. Yesterday it was the Fed's Mester and Bullard's turn to once again put...

Dollar Major Recovery Becomes a Real Risk After a Surprisingly Strong US Payrolls Report

US equities posted a good performance on Thursday, with the SPX almost testing 4200 points and NASDAQ jumping 3.56%, very close to 13000 points, the highest level since the end of August. The FOMC...

GBP Stabilises Following Sharp Losses As IMF Criticises UK Tax-Cuts

GBP Finds Equilibrium - For Now Following the heavy volatility we saw in GBP on Friday and Monday, price action has since stabilised. In GBPUSD in particular, price plunged almost 5% on Monday before...

Investment Bank Outlook 19-09-2022

BNY MellonUS Recession Risk RisingWe expect the Federal Reserve to raise the federal-funds target range rate by 75bp at the conclusion (Wednesday) of this week's FOMC gathering. We have revised up our...

Market Spotlight: Trading Today's US ISM Data

US ISM Manufacturing Up NextThe latest US ISM manufacturing reading is due later today and will likely be the main focus ahead of tomorrow’s NFP results. The August results is forecast to remain in...

Market Spotlight: USD Downside Risks Into Today's Data

FOMC Minutes in FocusThe FOMC minutes later today are drawing plenty of attention amidst the growing talk of a “Fed pivot”. With Q2 GDP having come in negative, confirming a technical recession, and...